Anyone else keeping an eye out for early Black Friday deals on GPUs this year?
I’ve been sitting on an older card (GTX 1070) that’s finally starting to struggle with newer games at 1440p, and I’d really like to upgrade without getting ripped off. I know some retailers start rolling out “Black Friday” prices weeks in advance, but it’s hard to tell what’s an actual deal vs. just normal sale prices with a big banner slapped on top.
I’m mainly looking at something in the RTX 4060 Ti / 4070 or RX 7800 XT range, ideally under about $600. I don’t mind buying from places like Newegg, Amazon, Best Buy, or even manufacturer stores (MSI, ASUS, etc.), but I’d prefer new rather than used/refurb for warranty reasons. I’ve also heard that sometimes the best deals are on slightly older generations (like 30-series) right before Black Friday actually hits.
For those of you who follow GPU pricing closely, are there any legit early Black Friday deals already worth jumping on, or is it smarter to wait until the week of Black Friday / Cyber Monday? Also, are there particular sites or trackers you trust for spotting real discounts instead of fake markdowns?
I totally agree about the 4060 Ti - it seems way too expensive for what you get. Im pretty new to this and kinda nervous about touching the parts, but I think doing the install yourself is the BEST way to save some extra cash. If you dont pay a shop to do it, you can use that money for a better card! Here is my plan for a budget DIY swap:
Honestly, if youre looking for stability at 1440p, you need to analyze the AIB (Add-In Board) partner quality rather than just chasing the lowest MSRP. Most "early" deals are on base-tier models with mediocre VRM cooling and sleeve-bearing fans, which is a risk if you want this card to last as long as your 1070 did. - **Consider the AMD Radeon RX 7900 GRE:** Its the actual sweet spot for market value right now. Iirc, it outperforms the 4070 in raw rasterization and the 16GB VRAM is pretty much essential for future-proofing 1440p textures. - **Prioritize Thermal Headroom:** Look for deals on the Sapphire Pulse or ASUS TUF Gaming lines. Tbh, a card with a beefier heatsink is worth a $30 premium over a reference-spec blower or budget dual-fan unit that'll thermal throttle in a year. Also, keep an eye on retailer price protection policies. Some places will credit you the difference if the price drops lower on actual Black Friday, which is a safer bet for your budget. Ngl, waiting for the "perfect" drop usually just leads to out-of-stock notices.
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Hey, I’m literally in the same boat as you. I was on a GTX 1070 until like a month ago, also playing at 1440p, and it was finally starting to choke on newer stuff.
I ended up grabbing an RTX 4070 (non‑Ti) for $579 on an “early” sale from Best Buy. What helped me a lot was tracking the price for a couple weeks on PCPartPicker and Keepa (for Amazon). Once I saw the 4070 dip below $600 and stay there for a few days (instead of a one‑day weird spike), I pulled the trigger. No regrets so far – performance jump is huge at 1440p and power draw is way better than my 1070.
From what I’ve seen this year, I think it’s worth:
- Watching 4070 and 7800 XT prices **now**, but
- Only buying when you see a deal that beats the typical “every week” sale by at least $30–$50 and has a clear price history showing it’s actually lower than usual.
Also, don’t sleep on the manufacturer stores. MSI’s own store had a 7800 XT that briefly dipped under $520 with a game bundle, which was pretty insane value IMO.
Lesson learned for me: early Black Friday can be good, but only if you compare against price history. If it’s just the “same sale as last month with a Black Friday banner”, I’d wait until the week of BF/Cyber Monday. But if a 4070 or 7800 XT hits low‑$500s from a big retailer with full warranty, I’d say that’s a safe buy even before the actual day.
Hope this helps!
Hey, veteran bargain-hunter here who’s been through… way too many Black Fridays.
**Background / why this matters:**
Retailers play a pricing game all year. Most “Early Black Friday” GPU deals are just the *same* sale price they’ve run 3–4 times already, with a louder banner. If you don’t know the baseline, it’s really easy to overpay by $50–$100.
**What I’d do, purely from a value/budget angle:**
- For 1440p, the 4060 Ti is usually poor value. I’d personally target **RTX 4070** or **RX 7800 XT** only.
- A *good* BF-level price (based on the last few months):
- 4070: ≈ **$500–$550**
- 7800 XT: ≈ **$470–$520**
If it’s above that, I’d wait.
**Practical tips:**
- Use **pcpartpicker.com** and **Keepa** (for Amazon) to see price history. If the “deal” price is common in the last 90 days, it’s not a real Black Friday special.
- Check **Newegg Shell Shocker**, **Best Buy Totaltech/Plus members deals**, and manufacturer sites for **bundle value** (free games, PSU, or cashback). Sometimes the price isn’t the lowest, but the bundle makes it the better buy.
- Watch the **week of Black Friday through Cyber Monday**. In my experience, that’s when the *actual* under-MSRP spikes happen, especially on last-gen and unpopular AIB models (triple-fan bricks that people ignore but cool well).
So IMO: unless you see a 4070/7800 XT in those target ranges right now, I’d wait and track prices for 1–2 weeks. A little patience usually saves you enough for a new game.
Hope this helps! Happy hunting.
Hey, so from a more numbers-nerd angle: I’d actually be careful jumping on “early BF” deals right now.
4060 Ti is kinda meh at 1440p for the money, especially vs a 7800 XT. If you can snag a 7800 XT around $480–520 or a 4070 under ~$550, that’s when it’s actually a solid deal. Anything above that is basically just normal sale pricing with a BF logo slapped on.
What I’d do:
- Track prices *now* so you know the real baseline (camelcamelcamel for Amazon, Keepa, and PCPartPicker’s price history are super handy).
- Watch for 12GB 4070 models and dual-fan 7800 XTs with decent coolers; don’t just sort by lowest price.
- Check total platform cost: power draw on 7800 XT is higher, so make sure your PSU isn’t borderline.
In my opinion, the real drops usually hit the week of BF/Cyber Monday, plus bundles (free games, rebates) show up then. Unless you see a 4070/7800 XT at those price points I mentioned, I’d wait a bit longer.
Hope this helps you not get baited by fake discounts!